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Half Mode

  • Identifies the single most likely outcome in a probability distribution.
  • Applied in contexts where outcome probabilities are not equally likely.
  • Distinct from the average or expected value, which account for all outcomes and their probabilities.

Half-mode is a concept in probability that refers to the most likely value or outcome of a random event — i.e., the value that has the highest probability of occurring in a given situation. It is presented as a variation of the mode concept used in situations where the probabilities of the possible outcomes are not equally likely.

The mode of a probability distribution is the value with the highest probability of occurring. Half-mode uses this notion to identify the single most likely outcome when outcome probabilities differ. According to the source content, half-mode is employed in cases where the mode of the distribution is said to be not well-defined, so the half-mode concept is used instead. Half-mode focuses only on the most likely outcome and does not account for the probabilities of all outcomes the way the average or expected value does.

Suppose we have a coin that has a 60% probability of landing on heads and a 40% probability of landing on tails when flipped. In this case, the half-mode of the distribution would be heads, since it is the most likely outcome.

Suppose we have a dice that has a 20% probability of landing on each of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 when rolled. In this case, the half-mode of the distribution would be any of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6, since all of these numbers have an equal probability of occurring.

  • Mode
  • Average
  • Expected value